Chicago Bears' 2026 projected win total is lower than 2025

The Chicago Bears' over/under win total is set at 9.5 victories entering the 2026 season, with the under slightly favored despite Chicago coming off an 11-6 campaign and an NFC North title. The projection reflects the challenges of a significantly tougher schedule, several key defensive departures, and the retirement of center Drew Dalman, all factors expected to make repeating last year's success more difficult. Even so, Ben Johnson's team remains among the NFC's projected contenders after its breakthrough 2025 season.