2026 NFL Win Total Projections: Where Every Team Stands
DraftKings released projected 2026 NFL win totals. Here’s how oddsmakers view every team, including the Bears, Packers, and league favorites.
DraftKings just dropped its projected 2026 win totals, and if you’re looking for early narratives, they’re already baked in.
At the top of the board? No surprise. The Ravens, Bills, Chiefs, Chargers, Patriots, Rams, Lions, Seahawks, Packers, Eagles, and 49ers all sit at 10.5 wins. That tier represents the league’s established contenders coming off strong 2025 campaigns. Baltimore and Buffalo remain AFC heavyweights. Kansas City is still Kansas City.
In the NFC, Detroit and San Francisco continue to command respect, while the Rams and Eagles are again priced as double-digit-win teams.
Then there’s the next cluster: the “playoff but not elite” group.
The Bengals, Broncos, Texans, and Jaguars check in at 9.5, while the Bears also land at 9.5 (+100 over, -120 under). That number reflects respect for Chicago’s 2025 surge without fully crowning them. It suggests oddsmakers see the Bears as a fringe 10-win team, a legitimate playoff contender, but not yet a conference favorite.
Green Bay, meanwhile, is sitting at 10.5 (+100 over, -120 under). That sets up a fascinating NFC North dynamic: Lions and Packers priced as double-digit teams, Bears right behind, Vikings at 8.5. Vegas clearly expects another tight divisional race.
Further down, the middle class includes the Colts and Steelers at 8.5, Cowboys and Buccaneers also at 8.5, and the Commanders, Saints, and Giants at 7.5. It's a group of teams that could swing either direction in 2026.
At the bottom, the Dolphins and Cardinals sit at 4.5, with the Jets and Raiders at 5.5. In other words, the rebuilders.
Win totals aren’t predictions, but they are market signals. And heading into 2026, the message is clear: the league sees separation forming at the top.
The Bears are knocking on the door, but Vegas still wants to see one more step.
