Caleb Williams Projects as Fringe QB1 in Early 2026 Fantasy Rankings
Photo: Patrick McDermott / Getty Images
Fantasy FootballNews

Caleb Williams Projects as Fringe QB1 in Early 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Caleb Williams is viewed as a fringe QB1 entering 2026 with upside to climb into the top tier.

Bryan PerezBryan Perez·

There’s a line in fantasy football rankings that separates quarterbacks you trust from quarterbacks you’re still debating. Right now, Caleb Williams is sitting on it.

In ESPN’s early 2026 fantasy football QB rankings, Williams comes in at No. 11, which puts him just inside starting range in a standard 12-team league.

It’s a reflection of a player who has produced, but still has another level to reach.

A Ranking That Comes With Context for Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams Chicago Bears
(Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

Williams didn’t land at No. 11 by accident.

After a steady rookie season in 2024, he made a noticeable jump in 2025. His production showed up across multiple categories, not just as a passer but also as a runner.

As ESPN noted, he finished no lower than 11th among quarterbacks in key metrics like passing yards, passing touchdowns, rushing production, and fantasy points per game. That kind of consistency is what gets you into the QB1 conversation.

But it also explains why he’s not higher. There's still room for growth.

Williams ended the 2025 season throwing for 3,942 yards, 27 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. He broke the Bears' single-season passing record, which stood for 30 years.

Efficiency Still Needs to Improve for Williams

Caleb Williams Chicago Bears
(Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

The biggest reason Caleb Williams sits at No. 11 is efficiency.

His 58 percent completion rate in 2025 ranked near the bottom of the league. That number matters, especially when you’re trying to break into the top tier of fantasy quarterbacks who combine volume with precision.

The encouraging part is that Caleb Williams still produced despite such a low completion percentage.

Williams’ ability to extend plays and make plays as a runner helped offset those inconsistencies. That’s what kept his weekly floor stable.

Williams' Lack of Turnovers Warrants Praise

Caleb Williams Chicago Bears
Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

One of the more important details in Williams’ profile is what he’s not doing.

He’s not turning the ball over.

Williams threw just seven interceptions in each of his first two seasons, a sign that he’s managing the game while still creating plays. That balance is a big reason why his fantasy output has remained steady.

With a second offseason under Ben Johnson's tutelage, there's no telling just how productive Williams can be.

The Bears' Skill Players Elevate Williams' Upside

Colston Loveland Chicago Bears
(Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

The situation on offense around Caleb Williams is trending in the right direction.

He’s working with a young group of playmakers that includes Rome Odunze, Luther Burden III, and Colston Loveland, all within a system led by Johnson, the NFL's best play caller.

Fantasy football managers know how important a quarterback's weapons are for his season-long projection, and few QBs have as much explosive potential in their receiving targets as Williams in 2026.

Why No. 11 Feels Like a Middle Ground for Williams

Caleb Williams Chicago Bears
(Photo by Larry Radloff/Icon Sportswire)

This 2026 fantasy football ranking lands right where the uncertainty lives.

Williams has proven he can produce like a low-end QB1. However, he hasn't shown the efficiency or consistency to be ranked among the top options at the position.

That’s why No. 11 feels accurate.

It reflects a quarterback who is startable, reliable in stretches, and capable of more, but not quite in the group that carries a fantasy roster on its own.

At least, not yet.

The Bears' Bottom Line

Caleb Williams Chicago Bears
(Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

Bears fans shouldn't be angry about this fantasy football ranking. Caleb Williams isn’t being overlooked.

No. 11 puts him on the edge of the top tier, with a clear path to move up if efficiency improves and the offense takes another step forward.

For 2026, that makes him one of the more interesting quarterbacks to track. And if fantasy football drafts allow Williams to slip to the 11th quarterback selected, he might end up winning a whole bunch of championships this year.


Tags:Caleb WilliamsColston LovelandFeaturedLuther Burden IiiRome Odunze
Bryan Perez
Bryan PerezStaff Writer at BearsTalk

More From BearsTalk

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Loading mock drafts…
All Mock Drafts →